How Red Sox are leading AL East

Eric D. Schabell
Contributing Writer

We have been watching the Red Sox all season with a severe lack of offense.

No offense from the outfield.

No offense from the left side of the infield since the acquisition of Stephen Drew for $10MM that required a shuffling of the roster to free up shortstop for him.

We have been watching the Red Sox starting rotation and bullpen fail time and again to keep opposing hitters in line.

Ineffective Jake Peavy, ineffective Felix Doubront, and Clay Buchholz wondering if he remembers how to get hitters out at all.

It has reached the point that we are calling for a fire sale and putting training wheels on the rest of the 2014 season by calling up younger talent for playing time.

But let's take a step back and examine the situation in the AL East.

(standings as of Fri. 27 June 2014)

The Red Sox are trailing the Blue Jays who lead the division as of today by 8.0 games.

If we take a look at all the games played this year, 79 by the Red Sox so far, they are 36-43 with a .456 PCT and floating in the cellar of the AL East.

If we look closer we see that they played 29 games that were decided by just one run. Of those 29 games, the Red Sox lost 16 of them.

Lost 16 games by 1 run.

What if the Red Sox had won just half of those, meaning +8 in the win column, what would our season look like right now?

The Red Sox would have 44-35 with a .556 PCT and be tucked right in behind the AL East leading Blue Jays. Add just one more win, and you have 45-34 with a .570 PCT and are now looking at the AL East leaders in your Boston Red Sox.

Look even closer and you will find that if those wins had been converted in the Red Sox series against their division rivals, the AL East would look something like this:
  1. Red Sox 45-34, .570 PCT, --
  2. Blue Jays 45-36, .556 PCT, 0.5 GB
  3. Yankees 39-36, .520, 3.0 GB
  4. Orioles 39-38, .506 PCT, 3.5 GB
  5. Rays 28-52, .350 PCT, 15.0 GB
What could have made this possible?

Any one of the things we now see failing, such as more hitting from the outfield, more hitting from the left side of the infield, or pitching that gave up just a few less runs.

What would we be talking about right now if the Red Sox had just won half of those games lost by one run?

Post a comment or via twitter @ericschabell with your thoughts.

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