I need to pay more attention to the National League. Take a gander at the outrageous stats of Mr. Ian Kennedy, especially when you compare 2011 to 2010. Kennedy is starting (right now) against the Brewers in the deciding game of that series.
The other game is interesting too -- Roy Halladay pitching for Philly, at home, against Chris Carpenter in a down year (for him). It seems like too much of a lock; I'd be nervous if I were a Philly fan, but that may be my Sox fan pessimism talking.